A Somewhat Easy Prediction: Iran to Have Deliverable Nuclear Weapons This Year


But then what? That is the big question.

The answer is — Big Trouble, though we don’t yet know the magnitude of that trouble.

We have several avenues of evidence that sheds light on that question:

  • Iran’s constant threats to wipe out the nation Israel – in other words, to complete Hitler’s Holocaust. The new Iranian president uses less strident words and phrases than his predecessor, but the intent is the same … and the ruling Muslim religious leaders have not changed their tune.
  • Iran’s cronies and surrogates are the biggest perpetrators of terrorism and militant upheaval, and seek hegemony in the Middle East … and ultimately well beyond.
  • The US government of Barack Obama, John Kerry and others have abandoned any pretense of stopping the Iranian ‘bomb’, and in essence have given the green light to Iran for completion of its weapons program – all the while cutting Israel out of the picture.

This last item, the US (and the West’s) capitulation to Iran is a near replay of the 1930’s when Neville Chamberlin capitulated to Hitler and thus precipitated World War II.  Read this chilling article: What Churchill Would Make of Obama’s Iran Appeasement to get a clear picture of the admonition we often hear but mostly ignore “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”

Read what  Churchill said about Chamberlin’s actions at the time:

“Britain and France had to choose between war and dishonour. They chose dishonour. They will have war.”

Translating to todays world we have:  “Obama spokesman Jay Carney said the alternative to the nuclear deal would be war.” Bernadette Meehan, a spokeswoman for the National Security Council, warned that the failure of the deal will force Obama to, “choose between military options or allowing Iran’s nuclear program to continue.”

The author of the Churchill article continues:

Since the deal allows Iran’s nuclear program to continue, it’s a buffet of three choices, all three of which lead to conflict of some kind. The only variations are in the date and in the capabilities of the enemy.

That was the problem with Munich.

Hitler had already been making plans for a war with Britain and France that would commence three or four years after finishing off Czechoslovakia. The only thing that the Munich Agreement accomplished was to speed up Hitler’s timetable from three years to one by letting him finish his business with the Czechs earlier than he had planned.

Winston Churchill spoke. “I will… begin by saying the most unpopular and most unwelcome thing… we have sustained a total and unmitigated defeat.”

Iran obtaining deliverable nuclear weapons gives them enormous flexibility an advancing their goals – both in blackmailing neighboring nations as well as actual warfare short of using their nuclear weapons. And with the United States out of the short term picture as a foil against this near future Iranian aggression, the outlook looks bleak indeed.

And – it will only be a matter of time before the US gets drawn back into the fray … but at a decidedly weakened  disadvantage.

And Israel? Israel undoubtedly will feel the brunt of military attacks against it – perhaps in several phases – the first being conventional and stepped up terrorist attacks, followed by threats of and actual nuclear attacks.

Israel will survive all of this, and actually emerge the stronger visa vie its Arab and Persian neighbors. This survival will be because it’s one true ally – the God of Abraham, Isaac and Jacob – will stand between Israel and its enemies.

Zechariah 12 (Jerusalem’s Enemies to Be Destroyed}

A prophecy: The word of the Lord concerning Israel.

The Lord, who stretches out the heavens, who lays the foundation of the earth, and who forms the human spirit within a person, declares: “I am going to make Jerusalem a cup that sends all the surrounding peoples reeling. Judah will be besieged as well as Jerusalem. On that day, when all the nations of the earth are gathered against her, I will make Jerusalem an immovable rock for all the nations. All who try to move it will injure themselves. On that day I will strike every horse with panic and its rider with madness,” declares the Lord. “I will keep a watchful eye over Judah, but I will blind all the horses of the nations. Then the clans of Judah will say in their hearts, ‘The people of Jerusalem are strong, because the Lord Almighty is their God.’

“On that day I will make the clans of Judah like a firepot in a woodpile, like a flaming torch among sheaves. They will consume all the surrounding peoples right and left, but Jerusalem will remain intact in her place.

“The Lord will save the dwellings of Judah first, so that the honor of the house of David and of Jerusalem’s inhabitants may not be greater than that of Judah. On that day the Lord will shield those who live in Jerusalem, so that the feeblest among them will be like David, and the house of David will be like God, like the angel of the Lord going before them. On that day I will set out to destroy all the nations that attack Jerusalem.

*  *  *  *

From where I sit it looks like major war coming once again to the Middle East. And if this happens the US will be on the wrong side.

What can we do as individuals?

John 3:16

 For God so loved the world that he gave his one and only Son, that whoever believes in him shall not perish but have eternal life.

 

Don Johnson – January 2014

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2 responses to “A Somewhat Easy Prediction: Iran to Have Deliverable Nuclear Weapons This Year

  1. Expand your reading beyond people so simplistic that they see every single bit of negotiating as a Chamberlin at Munich moment.

    http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2014/01/21/accentuate_the_positive_iran_nuclear_deal

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-14/an-iran-hawk-s-case-against-new-iran-sanctions.html

    http://dish.andrewsullivan.com/2014/01/22/history-can-still-be-made/

    http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2014/01/the-moral-case-for-ending-americas-cold-war-with-iran/282857/

    http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2014/01/the-iran-vote-this-really-matters-and-you-should-let-your-senators-know/283070/

    And as for Israeli leaderships thoughts on the matter, that is an important data point, but the last time I checked that is the government of a different country. No more or less important that what other key allies like Great Britain might think. How much the disputed meanings of ancient prophecies should be a factor in modern foreign policy is quite debatable.

    • Thanks,
      Lots of reading and I will look at what you suggest.
      There is a great deal at stake here, and it’s good to be as informed as possible even though we are talking about events across the world.
      Events in far away places have a nasty habit of effecting us here in our own protected neighborhoods: … Munich, Korea, London, Berlin, Suez, Vietnam, Cuba, Tokyo, Afghanistan, Iraq … Tehran … .
      Again thanks, and thanks for being interested.

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